第二卷 京城 第四十一章 重仓做空!(1 / 2)

李秩跟宋胖子约定好了,宋胖子先付他二百万定金,然后剩下的钱等出手了玉石再付。李秩倒也不担心宋胖子会卷钱跑路,毕竟他在京城也算个有头有脸的人物。但宋胖子却很讲究,他让李秩先拿回去一块玉石,等见了钱再把它拿过来。

怪不得洛清歌的祁叔叔说宋胖子人很厚道,今日一见,果然名副其实。

二人互相留了电话,李秩的银行卡上也顺理成章地又多了二百万。李秩和洛清歌跟宋胖子又聊了一会儿,便起身告辞。

李洛二人倒也没着急回去,李秩陪着洛清歌在古玩市场中闲逛了一会儿,洛清歌看上了许多奇奇怪怪的小物件,李秩都将它们买下,洛清歌倒也没推辞,毕竟她今天可是帮他多赚了十万呢。

最后,洛清歌还给李秩挑了俩核桃,让他没事儿干盘着玩儿,说是防止老年痴呆。李秩也回赠了洛清歌两个,二人哈哈大笑。

二人逛完,李秩大手一挥,打车回学校!

回到学校,天色已晚,二人又顺道吃了个饭。

席间,洛清歌笑眯眯地问道:“千万富翁,你打算怎么花你这笔钱啊?”

李秩笑道:“我准备用这笔钱做空米股。”

洛清歌瞪大了眼睛:“你确定?你做空第一强国,有什么逻辑吗?”

李秩当然不能说是听了我好大哥的话,那样洛清歌肯定会翻他很多个白眼。好在他最近也研究过一段时间的米国经济,张口就道:“米国如今的房地产市场已经出现了严重的泡沫,许多低收入群体为了投资房产不惜以贷养贷,用一套还背负房贷的房子做抵押物来进行抵押贷款,用来继续购买房产。这样实际上让他们背负了双重甚至多重贷款,也就是说他们的杠杆率在疯狂地提升。如果一旦房地产市场出现崩盘,那么他们抵押给银行的房子价值小于他们的贷款金额,银行即使拍卖掉抵押物也挽回不了他们的损失,那风险就来了。”

当然,李秩只是简单地描述一下次贷危机的产生,实际上它的构成远比这个复杂。实际上米国机构还发行过次级抵押贷款债券,机构之间也售卖信用违约互换合同,这些都实质上造成了杠杆的进一步推升,这让次贷危机爆发之时产生的危害更大。

洛清歌敏锐地发现了问题:“你说的前提是房价暴跌,那如果房价不跌呢?当然,世界上没有只涨不跌的东西,但你无法预料这个时间点。要知道,如果通过股指期货做空米股的话,是需要加杠杆的,即使你判断对了大趋势,但如果短时间没有向下而是继续往上,你很有可能会被爆仓的。”

李秩道:“今年3月份,米国成屋销量下降8.4%;4月2日,米国第二大次级抵押贷款公司——新世纪金融宣布申请破产保护、裁减54%的员工;7月份,标普降低次级抵押贷款债权评级;8月6日,房地产投资信托公司AHM宣布破产保护;8月9日,巴黎银行宣布卷入米国次级债;8月16日,全米最大商业抵押贷款公司股价暴跌,面临破产……如此种种迹象表明,楼市崩盘已经开始,并将很快传导到股市。虽然米联储不停救市,让米股从8月份的大跌中重新走出,但这无疑是饮鸩止渴,现在越强行续命,将来就会跌得越惨!”

洛清歌看着他信心满满的样子,似乎也被他说服了:“你打算怎么做?”

李秩笑了:“我把钱转到你姨夫的账户上,让他帮我做空市面上最远期的合约。我认为,一旦米股崩盘,很可能下跌会以年计。”

洛清歌道:“你打算用多少钱来做空?”

李秩想了想:“现在我银行卡里大概有四百八十万,加上股票账户马上取出来的钱,我打算投五百万。”

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